Published in Current Affairs Bulletin, Vol. 67, No. 5, October 1990, pp. 23-28, with minor sub-editorial changes
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Brian Martin
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Several years from now, there may be a computer in your car to help
you find the best route to your destination. When you get in, there
will be a small console for you to key in where you're going. The
computer system will figure out the best way to go, considering
possible routes and taking into account current traffic conditions. A
little screen on the dashboard -- and, if desired, a synthesised
voice -- will tell you where to go next. This is called a route
guidance system.
With a somewhat different technology, it is possible that as you
drive along, your car's position will be monitored by beacons beside
the road, hooked into a central computer system. Because the central
computer knows where cars are, it can optimise traffic light timing.
It can also despatch police and emergency vehicles to bottlenecks and
accidents. The electronic identification of your car could also prove
valuable in case of theft. This is called automatic vehicle
identification.
The future may also bring computer systems that are used to charge
for use of the roads. You might have a pre-paid "smart card" in your
car. Whenever you pass by a beacon, a small toll will be subtracted
from your account on the card. The toll would be larger at peak
periods and on crowded arteries. This, it is hoped, will encourage
drivers to travel at other times or by other routes, thereby reducing
congestion. Such a system is called electronic road pricing.
But what if your smart card had run out of money, or wasn't working
properly -- or you were trying to cheat the system? If a vehicle went
by a beacon and didn't have a working smart card with sufficient
credit for the toll, a camera would automatically photograph its
licence number, and payment would be sought later.
It is at this point that some people start to worry. Any system that
can monitor a vehicle can be used for surveillance. A system of
automatic vehicle identification can be used to try to improve
traffic flow, to be sure. But could it also be used to monitor your
movements if you were considered, correctly or otherwise, to be a
threat to society, or just to someone powerful? Furthermore, who will
control the scale of charges for electronic road pricing? Couldn't
this become another way to charge those who can least afford it?
These are not hypothetical questions. Technologies for automatic
route guidance and electronic road pricing are being tested in
several parts of the world today. Yet there has been minimal public
discussion of the social implications.
The development of
microelectronics has had a large impact on the construction of road
vehicles. Most of this is built into engines and other vehicle
systems and has few wider social implications. But the developers of
computer systems have been enterprising in their search for
applications, so it is hardly surprising that traffic management has
been a focus for attention.
The massive road-building programmes of the l950s and 1960s in
industrialised countries did not succeed in solving the problem of
traffic congestion. As quickly as freeways were built, they were
filled by more and more vehicles. Eventually, the boom in road
construction declined, in the face of mounting costs and opposition
from local communities. Although vehicles have become more
sophisticated and drivers more affluent, traffic jams have remained.
No one has found a way to drive themselves out of congested
streets.
The promoters of computer solutions have seen a lucrative market.
Instead of building more roads, why not use the present ones more
efficiently? Automatic electronic identication of road vehicles can
help improve traffic signal coordination; automatic route guidance
can encourage individual drivers to choose better routes; and
electronic road pricing applies the principle of supply and demand to
the roads, improving efficiency. At least this is the theory.
There is a considerable selection of competing technologies to
accomplish these tasks. One system involves loops buried underneath
roads, in the style of the present triggers for traffic lights. An
electronic licence plate or tag -- a box the size of a video cassette
-- is attached to the underside of each car, truck and bus. When the
vehicle drives over the loops, the tag is energised by a radio signal
from a power loop and sends out its unique identication number. This
is picked up by a receiver loop and transmitted to a central
computer.
A similar system involves beacons beside roads, perhaps linked to the
switching boxes on traffic lights. The beacon transmits an infrared
signal, generating a reply from a small panel inside the windscreen.
As well as infrared, systems can use microwaves, visual light and
radio waves.
More comprehensive than these systems is satellite tracking. The
position of vehicles is continally monitored by a satellite, and this
information is in turn sent to a central installation. Satellite
tracking is most suited for long distances, such as transcontinental
truck deliveries, rather than city streets.
For the purposes here, the technical details are less important than
the common characteristics of the systems. Systems of automatic
vehicle identification (AVI) involve a unique identifying number
which is transmitted to a central location when the vehicle passes
specified locations. More comprehensive is automatic vehicle
monitoring (such as the satellite systems), in which a vehicle's
location is known centrally at all times.[1]
The first major test of AVI was in Hong Kong in the mid 1980s. Due to
escalating congestion, it was decided to run a pilot scheme for
charging vehicles for entering the downtown area. A fleet of vehicles
-- all volunteers -- was fitted with electronic tags. Loops were
placed under all roads into the central business district. The
experiment ran for two years. The technology worked with high
reliability and the pilot programme was judged a technical success.
In spite of this, the scheme did not go ahead. Opposition came from
the Hong Kong Automobile Association and others, and concerns were
expressed about civil liberties and equity.[2]
In spite of this setback, research and development have continued
unabated. In London, an automatic route guidance system called
Autoguide is being tested, while in Berlin a similar system called
Ali-Scout is undergoing trials.
Various projects totalling on the order of $1000 million are being
carried out by Western European governments and industries to apply
computer technology to road transport. A similarly massive programme
is underway in Japan.
In Oslo, Norway, all drivers will soon have to pay a toll to enter
the city. A typical system includes three separate lanes for payment:
by cash, by token and by an electronic tag and microwave
communication. The latter lane requires no stopping. Payment of tolls
electronically is also possible in the Norwegian cities of Alesund
and Trondheim.[3]
In the United States, developments are not so advanced. But there is
a large programme to test the automatic identification of trucks,
called the Heavy Vehicle Electronic License Plate or HELP programme.
It involves an AVI system to monitor the movement of trucks over a
large number of states.
Developments in Australia do not match those in Europe, Japan or even
the US, but there is certainly interest in AVI in a number of
quarters. The Victorian Road Freight Transport Industry Council and
the Victorian Roads and Traffic Authority held a conference on AVI in
1988 attended by representatives of companies, trade unions and
government bodies. The NSW Roads and Traffic Authority has funded a
tracking system used by some Sydney taxi companies; this provides the
RTA with useful information about traffic flow.
There has been continuing interest in automatic electronic payment of
the toll for the Sydney Harbour Bridge. A survey was held to
determine the attitudes of motorists. It would be interesting to
know, for example whether they would expect a discount rate and
whether they would be willing to pay in advance. Since there have
been no moves to set up an electronic tolling system, it may be
inferred that the assessment so far is that the capital cost of
setting up the system cannot be justified by the Harbour Bridge toll
alone. But the continuing interest in this possibility suggests that
additional applications will be sought in the future.
There is no doubt that one
possible consequence of AVI systems is an increased potential for
surveillance of the population. Whether this is justified by the
benefits of the technology is something that the public has not yet
had a chance to consider.
The first likely use of AVI systems is to monitor truck and bus
fleets, providing a much closer surveillance over
workers.[4]
The focus in this article, though, will be on the implications for
private motorists.
Surveillance can be defined as the systematic monitoring of
individuals without their consent. The usual aim is to collect
information about them. Surveillance has been a feature of societies
for millenia, and certainly does not require computers. Permanent
secret police were first established under Napolean and are now an
established feature of the modern state.[5]
Many people have the idea that they are at risk from electronic
surveillance, such as phone taps. But it is much more likely that
inside information, whether in a private corporation or an
environmental group, will be obtained by old-fashioned
informers.[6]
Nevertheless, computers do provide a vastly increased capacity for
certain types of surveillance, especially through interconnection of
databases. It is now possible, and routine, for police to key in the
licence plate number of a car seen on the street and to quickly
obtain details of any previously recorded information about the
owner. Databases from tax and welfare files can be meshed to pinpoint
possible cheating.
Computers allow certain forms of surveillance of records to become
routine. Every customer who makes a transaction at a bank can be
automatically checked for outstanding payments. With manual systems,
a special search would be required, and would only be undertaken when
suspicions were aroused. With computers, checking can be made
routine. Beyond this, databases can be scanned and compared with each
other even when there is no reason to suspect anyone.[7]
These developments have come in a gradual way, and there has been
comparatively little public opposition. A prime example is banking at
electronic tellers. The registration of a person's account number
means that there is a record of a person's location (or at least the
location of their card) at a particular time and place. Access to
this information could potentially be used for unscrupulous purposes,
and its existence certainly reduces the "invisibility" of a person's
transactions.
The introduction of electronic funds transfer at points of sale will
mean a much greater gathering of information that can be used to make
inferences about the personal habits of individuals. Yet, so far,
people seem to have judged that the personal benefits of this
technology have outweighed any possible threats to privacy. Also,
people have, by and large, felt that they are voluntarily using the
technology. A forced imposition of a technology with surveillance
capacity would be another thing.
This was shown by the groundswell of opposition to the Australia
Card, a national identity card (and, more importantly, a unique
identifying number) proposed by the federal government. At first the
card seemed to receive public support as a measure to eliminate tax
fraud and cut administrative costs. But then critical voices emerged,
government claims were challenged and a massive opposition movement
developed bringing together traditional antagonists from the right
and left. The discovery of a legal flaw provided the pretext for the
federal government to withdraw the card.[8]
The government's new tax file number is a substitute for the
Australia card, and so the success of the anti-card movement can be
questioned.[9]
But it certainly showed that computer-based surveillance provides the
basis for widespread and vociferous citizen concern. No one knows
whether such concern is likely to be directed against an AVI
system.
Consider a standard system for AVI, in which a vehicle's unique
identification number is registered whenever it passes by a
particular location. The information gathered could provide a
detailed record of driving patterns. Speed (and speeding) could be
determined. Daily routines could be identified, and also deviations
from them. It would be relatively easy to determine the location of
the driver's home, employment, shopping and so forth.
Many would not object to this -- depending on benefits to be gained
-- if there were sufficient safeguards against disclosure or abuse of
the information. Unfortunately, weak controls and unauthorised use of
databases are commonplace. Some companies routinely determine credit
risks by accessing supposedly confidential databases.
The incentives for accessing AVI information could be considerable.
Businesses might want to check up on the behaviour of executives
under suspicion. Private individuals might want to check up on the
movements of their spouses or children. Police would want to use the
system to monitor or apprehend known or suspected criminals. Secret
police would want to monitor those they consider to be threats to the
security of society.
The Privacy Commission of New South Wales believes that it is likely
that Australian police already use electronic tracking of selected
road vehicles.[10]
If many vehicles were equipped with electronic licence plates, covert
surveillance would become much easier for police, private
investigators, employers and others.
Having tight controls over collected information is one way to
prevent misuses, but controls and ethics committees often can be
circumvented. A much more secure way of avoiding problems is to make
collection of compromising data impossible in the first place. It is
here that examination of different technologies becomes relevant.
Any system that identifies or monitors individual vehicles is open to
the potential problems that have been mentioned. But some systems do
not require regular identification. An example is electronic road
pricing using pre-paid smart cards. But for those without valid
paid-up cards, the back-up system of photographing licence numbers is
required. This opens the possibility for monitoring. In the case of
an alleged terrorist threat, for example, photographing of all
licence numbers might be employed.
With route guidance systems, it is not necessary to identify
individual vehicles at all, since guidance can work by giving drivers
information based on knowledge of overall traffic flow. The
surveillance threat from such systems derives from the technological
infrastructure, which would make it much easier to introduce vehicle
identification at some later stage. In other words, capital
investments in route guidance mean that AVI becomes a cheaper and,
hence, more attractive option to obtain added benefits.
From this perspective, the surest way to eliminate possible misuse of
AVI is not to introduce any of the related technologies at all.
Safeguards on information collected are all very well, but simply do
not provide protection in the face of real or manufactured
emergencies or in the face of a different, more repressive,
government. Even without special pretexts, new surveillance
technologies may be helping to bring about a much tighter social
control in what are called 'liberal democracies'.[11]
There are some who think this sort of concern about civil liberties
is exaggerated. Certainly, the uncertainty about the way the
technology will actually be implemented and used makes a range of
assessments possible. There is also another perspective that makes
for an intriguing comparison. It is that civil liberties on the road
is virtually a contradiction in terms.
This may sound strange to those
who subscribe to the idea of "freedom of the road". One of the great
attractions of the car and driving is that people can decide when to
leave, where to travel and what route to take, all in a way
impossible using public transport and with a speed, range and comfort
not attainable by walking or cycling. Australia is one of the
countries where the ideology of the "open road" holds sway and where
constraints on driving are resented by many.
A closer examination of road transport, though, reveals an impressive
range of constraints. To begin, drivers are expected to obey the
rules of the road, such as driving on the correct side and obeying
traffic signals. This is taken for granted. Then there are laws
concerning speeding and other road behaviour, and also parking.
Violations are common, as are warnings and fines. Vehicles must be
registered and working properly. There are special laws requiring the
wearing of seat belts and having low blood alcohol. It is safe to say
that most people have more interactions with the police and the legal
system because of driving than any other activity.
Police who want to "get at" someone have been known to closely follow
them whenever they are driving. It is so easy to break the road laws
that police can readily victimise someone should they so desire.
Most of the police attention to drivers and driving can be considered
to be a form of surveillance. Indeed, it is now routine for cameras
to record traffic at particular intersections and for pictures to be
used in court proceedings. Surveillance on the road is already a
reality in many ways. AVI would only be a high-tech extension of
this.
The underlying reason for all this surveillance is quite simple: road
vehicles are dangerous. Traffic accidents are responsible for large
numbers of deaths and injuries. Police surveillance and legal
penalties are designed to protect people.
The problem is built into road transport as a system of
transportation, and is ultimately a product of the choice of
technologies. A comparison with nuclear power is revealing here.
Critics of nuclear power have argued that because of the potential
for massive environmental disaster, terrorism or criminal sabotage
become major concerns. To prevent this, police powers and
surveillance become necessary. In turn, it becomes likely that these
police powers will be used against pecaeful critics of nuclear
policy. The result would be a "nuclear police state".
Even though the nuclear industry has been stalled far short of the
hopes of its proponents, many of the concerns of the critics have
been shown to be valid. There have been special police forces to
guard nuclear facilities, and there has been police surveillance of
anti-nuclear activists.[12]
The problems are built into the nature of the technology. Many
critics have concluded that nuclear power cannot be reformed, and
therefore should be opposed altogether.
Road transport introduces a similar set of inherent problems but,
unlike nuclear power, the technology has become well and truly
entrenched. Surveillance of road vehicles is already a reality. The
key questions are, how greatly would AVI increase the scope for
surveillance, and how significant would the difference be to
people?
The slogan "freedom of the road" means not only being able to drive when and where one likes, but also
doing so without making special payments. The idea of freedom of the
road in a financial sense flies in the face of reality when one
considers registration payments, petrol tax and road tolls. Yet it is
likely that any attempt to introduce comprehensive road pricing would
lead to massive resistance.
Road pricing at the moment is a system of vast subsidies from some
groups to others, if one takes into account individual as well as
government expenditure. Registration payments take no account of a
vehicle's use of the roads, and constitute a subsidy for heavy road
users. (Registration costs, plus depreciation of vehicles, provide an
enormous incentive for owners to use road vehicles rather than
alternatives such as public transport or bicycles.) Petrol taxes are
roughly proportional to overall road use, but do not take into
account a vehicle's contribution to congestion, which depends on
which roads are used and at what times. Cars subsidise trucks, which
cause a vastly disproportionate share of damage to roads due to their
weight.
Road vehicles also cause massive impacts on society as a whole which
are not covered by registration and petrol taxes. These impacts are
called externalities in economics because they are not included in
the normal equations of supply and demand. They include air pollution
(which may be responsible for numerous deaths and illnesses as well
as property damage), a contribution to the greenhouse effect and
increased demands on police, emergency and medical facilities. Land
covered by roads and related infrastructure is not available for
other uses, but drivers do not pay the rent it would demand as real
estate.[13]
The automobilisation of society[14] has shaped the development of cities, industry, energy systems, and
life styles to such an extent that conventional economics cannot
readily put a price on the "cost" of road transport. Alternatives
have been marginalised in direct terms but also by having to compete
in a society built around the car.
Given this context, it is possible to see why electronic road pricing
(ERP) may encounter resistance. The immediate prospect is that ERP
would end the subsidy for drivers using congested roads. Those using
heavily travelled roads at peak periods would pay more; most others
would pay less. The former group might well protest louder,
especially since it would include more affluent commuters than
outer-suburban shoppers.
More importantly, ERP could open up the entire issue of road
subsidies to wider examination. ERP would make it easy to charge
different types of vehicles different rates. For example, heavy
trucks could be charged more for using certain roads. The trucking
industry, which is massively subsidised by present pricing policies,
would have much to lose by a greater scrutiny opened up by ERP.
Drivers might also legitimately fear that the implementation of ERP
would establish a powerful "road pricing bureaucracy" that could
increase prices unilaterally. No doubt some environmentalists would
welcome such central control if it were used to charge motorists for
their impact on the environment.
But environmentalists would be only one group competing to influence
road charges. Others would include trucking companies, the National
Road Motorists Association, central business district employers, bus
and rail interests, private motorists, trade unions, politicians and
many others. It is even possible to envisage "road pricing rorts",
analogous to schemes to avoid income taxes. Central taxation
encourages the powerful to both shape the rules and to subvert
them.
So far I have said little about what a truly equitable road pricing
system would be like. The difficulty is that equity means different
things to different people. How does one compare the interests of a
single parent with small children in an outer suburb with a truck
driver? There are no value-free answers. Perhaps the key issue is how
the decisions are made. The present transport system is a product of
powerful vested interests.[15]
An ERP system would just change the vested interests. Certainly, it
is hard to imagine ERP leading to greater community participation in
decision making.
There is no objective way to make
a decision on AVI. The benefits of congestion control and reduction
of travel times, improved use of existing roads and crime reduction
are difficult enough to quantify and compare to investments in the
computers, beacons, tags and so forth required to achieve them. There
is the additional complication that no one knows whether such a
system will work as well as planned.
But this is just the economic part of the calculation. How is it to
be compared to the potential threat to civil liberties?
A further difficulty is that the risks and benefits affect different
groups. There will be large benefits for companies that produce and
install the AVI system. The cost of setting up the system will
probably be borne by the government. Some motorists will gain more
benefits than others from altered patterns of road use and from
different pricing methods. If the system is used for surveillance,
this will affect some groups much more than others.
One special interest group that will be created by the introduction
of any AVI system is the technical specialists and managers who
implement and run the system itself. This group would be a new player
within government road authorities and could well be influential at
the level of government as well, since decisions about road pricing
are essentially political.
An indirect effect of an AVI system is that further investments are
made in road transport rather than other forms of transport. While
many hundreds of millions of dollars are being spent worldwide on the
application of computer technology to road vehicles, virtually
nothing is being spent on computers for those travelling by foot,
bicycle or train.
It is possible to imagine, for example, a carriage in every train
equipped with the latest electronics and communications devices (not
to mention an ordinary telephone). Because trains travel on a
predictable path and schedule, the technical obstacles to be overcome
are far less than for road vehicles.
The continuing investments in road travel hide the absence of
investments in alternatives. There is also the option of working at
home using computers and telecommunications.
There is one last complication. Even the claimed benefit of reduced
congestion from AVI can be disputed. Traffic planners agree that full
road pricing would change the distribution of road users. For
example, high prices would deter many motorists from using key roads
at peak periods, reducing congestion for those with more money or
greater urgency who continued to use them. Some motorists would pay
more and some less, and their use of the roads would change. But
would this reduce congestion and increase the average speed of urban
traffic?
Some traffic planners think not. They argue that there is such a
large untapped demand for road travel that any improvements in
efficiency will result in more people using the roads, thereby
bringing congestion and average speeds back to the old level. This is
precisely the reason why building more roads does not reduce
congestion. For the same reason, full road pricing will not reduce
congestion either.
Their view is that the only way to increase average speeds is to
increase the speed of urban mass transit. With a more efficient (and
comfortable) rail service, more people will use the trains, the roads
will become less congested and average road speeds will increase
too.[16]
Because of the many social implications, conflicting interests and
areas of dispute, it is important that no decision about AVI be taken
without widespread public discussion. One factor that has allowed
developments to proceed so far in so many countries without public
discussion of social implications is that there is no relevant social
movement.
The environmental movement can be expected to put issues affecting
the environment on the public agenda and, similarly, specific issues
are addressed by the peace, feminist and consumer movements, among
others. Some aspects of computer developments are addressed by civil
liberties groups (surveillance and privacy), trade unions
(employment) and health groups (effects of visual display units). But
there is no significant group that puts computer developments at the
centre of its concerns. It remains to be seen whether the prospect of
AVI or some other development changes this situation.
Acknowledgement The author thanks Pam Scott for much helpful
advice and comment.
[1] A. T. Bergan, Loyd Henion, Milan Krukar and Brian Taylor, 'Electronic License Plate Technology: Automatic Vehicle Location and Identification', Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, Vol. 15, No. 6, 1988, pp. 1035-1042; David E. Boyce, 'Route Guidance Systems for Improving Urban Travel and Location Choices', Transportation Research A, Vol. 22A, No. 4, 1988, pp. 275-281; Robert L. French, 'Cars that Know Where They're Going', Futurist, Vol. 23, No. 3, May-June 1989, pp. 29-36; Second International Conference on Road Traffic Monitoring, 7-9 February 1989. London: Institution of Electrical Engineers, 1989.
[2] Sandford F. Borins, 'Electronic Road Pricing: An Idea Whose Time May Never Come', Transportation Research A, Vol. 22A, No. 1, January 1988, pp. 37-44; J. A. L. Dawson, 'Electronic Road Pricing in Hong Kong. 4. Conclusion', Traffic Engineering + Control, Vol. 27, No. 2, February 1986, pp. 79-83; Pam Scott, 'Whatever Happened to Electronic Road Pricing?', unpublished paper, Informatics Faculty, University of Wollongong, 1990.
[3] K. Waersted and K. Bogen, 'No Stop Electronic Toll Payment Systems', in Second International Conference on Road Traffic Monitoring, 7-9 February 1989. London: Institution of Electrical Engineers, 1989, pp. 128-132.
[4] Pam Scott, 'Road Transport Informatics: Challenging the Freedom of the Road?', unpublished paper.
[5] Thomas Plate and Andrea Darvi, Secret Police: The Inside Story of a Network of Terror. London: Sphere, 1983.
[6] Gary T. Marx, 'The New Police Undercover Work', Urban Life, Vol. 8, No. 4, January 1980, pp. 399-446; Jim Thomas, 'Class, State, and Political Surveillance: Liberal Democracy and Structural Contradictions', Insurgent Sociologist, Vol. 10, No. 4, 1981, pp. 47-58.
[7] Roger A. Clarke, 'Information Technology and Dataveillance', Communications of the ACM, Vol. 31, No. 5, May 1988, pp. 498-512; James B. Rule, Douglas McAdam, Linda Stearns and David Uglow, 'Documentary Identification and Mass Surveillance in the United States', Social Problems, Vol. 31, No. 2, December 1983, pp. 222-234..
[8] Roger Clarke, 'Just Another Piece of Plastic for Your Wallet: The "Australia Card" Scheme', Prometheus, Vol. 5, No. 1, June 1987, pp. 29-45; Peter Graham, 'The Australia Card: A Burden rather than a Relief', Australian Quarterly, Vol. 58, Autumn 1986, pp. 4-14.
[9] Catherine Lumby and Paul Cleary, 'Australia Card through Back Door', Sydney Morning Herald, 26 October 1990, p. 6.
[10] Privacy Commission of New South Wales, Electronic Vehicle Tracking, Issues Paper No. 62, Sydney, August 1990, p. 11.
[11] Gary T. Marx, 'The Iron Fist and the Velvet Glove: Totalitarian Potentials within Democratic Structures', in James F. Short, Jr. (ed.), The Social Fabric: Dimensions and Issues, Beverly Hills, Sage, 1986, pp. 135-162.
[12] Robert Jungk, The New Tyranny. New York: Grosset and Dunlap, 1979; Donna Warnock, Nuclear Power and Civil Liberties. Washington, DC: Citizens' Energy Project, 1979.
[13] A Swedish calculation shows that the total social cost of road traffic, including road costs, traffic control, accidents and pollution, is perhaps twice as great as total vehicle and fuel taxes: Ingemar Leksell and Lars Hansson, 'Road Traffic: Far from Paying Its Way', Acid News, No. 1, January 1990, pp. 11-13.
[14] James J. Flink, The Car Culture. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1975.
[15] Delbert A. Taebel and James V. Cornehls, The Political Economy of Urban Transportation. Port Washington, NY: Kennikat Press, 1977.
[16] M. J. H. Mogridge, 'Road Pricing: The Right Solution to the Right Problem?', Transportation Research A, Vol. 20A, No. 2, 1986, pp. 157-167; Robert L. Pretty, 'Road Pricing: The Solution for Hong Kong?', Transportation Research A, Vol. 22A, No. 5, September 1988, pp. 319-327.